Bitcoin Daily: Market Analysis & On-Chain Data · 18 May 2026 · 4 min

ETF Outflows Hit February Lows: Macro Overrides the Supply Story

Spot Bitcoin ETFs just posted their worst weekly outflows since February — 13,000 BTC gone in seven days — as a 6% PPI print triggered $527M in liquidations and exposed the limits of long-term holder support. Today's episode breaks down the macro override thesis, the leverage flush below $80K, and what the ETF demand reversal actually signals.

Bitcoin Daily: Market Analysis & On-Chain Data
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ETF Outflows Hit February Lows: Macro Overrides the Supply Story

Audio is available on Spreaker — see link below.

What's covered

ETF Outflows Hit February Lows

Spot Bitcoin ETFs just posted their worst week of outflows since February. Thirteen thousand BTC left institutional products in a single week.

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Macro Override Thesis

Here's what matters right now. The on-chain supply story hasn't changed.

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Leverage Flush Below 80K

The leverage setup made this worse. Bitcoin futures leverage peaked at fourteen point nine percent near resistance before the breakdown.

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ETF Demand Divergence Signal

The ETF outflow number deserves its own attention. Thirteen thousand BTC in net weekly outflows is a reversal from a period when institutional inflows were cited as a primary demand driver.

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LTH Absorption Limits Unknown

Long-term holders have been absorbing volatility. That's real.

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What to Watch Next

The two things worth tracking from here are the Fed's next signals on rate trajectory and whether ETF flows stabilize or extend into a second week of outflows. Sticky inflation data has already repriced the rate path once.

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