Daily XRP Briefing · 5 Jul 2026 · 4 min

11% Weekly Gain, ETF Outflows & CLARITY Act Slips to 50% | Jul 4

XRP surged 11% on a double-bottom short squeeze, but U.S. spot ETFs just logged their first net outflows and CLARITY Act passage odds have dropped to 50%. Today's briefing breaks down what's signal and what's noise.

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11% Weekly Gain, ETF Outflows & CLARITY Act Slips to 50% | Jul 4

Audio is available on Spreaker — see link below.

What's covered

Double-Bottom Reversal Drives XRP Rally

XRP just posted an eleven percent weekly gain, and the mechanism behind it matters more than the number itself. This wasn't a sentiment drift.

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ETF Outflows Break Inflow Streak

Here's where the institutional picture gets complicated. U.S. spot XRP ETFs, which launched in November twenty twenty-five and pulled in one point four eight billion dollars in cumulative inflows, just posted their first net outflows as the second quarter closed.

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CLARITY Act Odds Slip to Fifty Percent

Regulatory clarity remains the unresolved proof point for XRP's longer thesis. The CLARITY Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee in May, but it still needs sixty full Senate votes for passage.

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Escrow Release Contained, Supply Stable

One risk that didn't materialize was supply pressure from Ripple's July escrow cycle. One billion XRP was released on July first, which is the standard monthly unlock.

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On-Chain Strength and Ripple's Charity Push

Beneath the price action, on-chain metrics are telling a constructive story. Active addresses jumped seventy-two percent over two weeks.

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Key Watchpoints for XRP

The two things worth watching from here are the August Senate calendar and whether XRP ETF inflows resume. Those are the real variables.

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