House leadership just gutted the September legislative calendar, creating a structural block that has CLARITY Act odds crashing from 90% to 18% on prediction markets. XRP stalls at $1.43 as two binary events — a Senate cloture vote and a Fed decision — land 24 hours apart.
Audio is available on Spreaker — see link below.
The Senate votes on the CLARITY Act in nine days. And it might not matter.
The prediction markets read it the same way. CLARITY Act odds of becoming law in twenty twenty-six sat at ninety percent in February.
Senator Cynthia Lummis has been direct about what failure costs. If this bill doesn't clear Congress, her estimate is that the next viable window for crypto legislation doesn't open until twenty thirty.
XRP surged thirty-five percent in a single month on CLARITY optimism. It's now sitting at one dollar forty-one, just below technical resistance at one dollar forty-three, unable to hold the spike above one dollar seventy it briefly touched in August.
What makes this episode more than just a legislative story is what Ripple is doing while Washington stalls. The company expanded RLUSD into Japan, Turkey, Korea, the Middle East, and Latin America.
The two things to watch closely this week are the cloture vote count on September fifteenth, and whether XRP holds above one dollar forty-three through the Fed decision the following day. A failed cloture vote removes the last realistic path to twenty twenty-six passage.
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