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Surf Report for Miami Florida - Friday - 22 May 2026
Audio is available on Spreaker — see link below.
NOAA's 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast signals a quieter year — and for Miami surfers, that means fewer of the tropical swell windows that deliver the best waves. Here's what to expect at the breaks from June through November.
Audio is available on Spreaker — see link below.
Miami. The two thousand twenty-six Atlantic hurricane season forecast just dropped, and for surfers, it's worth understanding what it actually means for your lineups through November.
The driving force behind that quieter outlook is a developing El Niño pattern. El Niño weakens the atmospheric conditions that tropical systems need to spin up.
Here's the honest read on it. A quieter hurricane season doesn't mean Miami goes completely flat from June through November.
That said, don't let a below-normal forecast make you lazy. NOAA's own National Hurricane Center made that point directly when releasing the forecast.
Keep an eye on the tropics from August through October. That's when most of Miami's real swell typically arrives anyway.
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