Todays weather in Chicago · 11 May 2026 · 3 min

Cold Lake Breeze, Then Tuesday Storms: Chicago Forecast

Lake Michigan's cold water is holding Chicago temps 10–15°F below normal Monday, with wind chills in the upper 40s and gusts to 30 mph. Then a dramatic swing Tuesday sends highs near 74°F — but thunderstorms and 40 mph gusts threaten the afternoon commute.

Todays weather in Chicago
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Cold Lake Breeze, Then Tuesday Storms: Chicago Forecast

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What's covered

Lake Breeze Dominates Monday

A strong lake breeze off Lake Michigan is keeping Chicago well below where mid-May temperatures should be, and it's the main thing shaping your day right now. Skies are mostly clear, which is a little misleading.

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Monday Forecast and Wind Chill

The high today tops out in the upper fifties. That's ten to fifteen degrees below normal for this point in May.

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Tuesday Warmup and Storm Risk

The signal to watch is Tuesday. The pattern shifts significantly, and it does so quickly.

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Tuesday Evening Commute Warning

The important distinction for Tuesday is the timing. Mornings look fine.

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Wednesday Recovery and Outlook

Wednesday is the recovery day. Mostly sunny skies return, highs near sixty-two degrees, breezy but manageable.

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