NOAA's 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast looks below average, but warm sea surface temperatures mean Miami's risk is anything but low. Plus: dangerous rip currents through Friday and what to expect this Memorial Day weekend.
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Miami. NOAA just released the twenty twenty-six Atlantic hurricane season forecast, and the headline number looks reassuring.
There's a reason this season might stay quieter than usual. A strong El Niño is forecast to arrive mid-season, and El Niño typically cranks up wind shear over the Atlantic, which tears developing storms apart before they can organize.
Right now, the National Hurricane Center has nothing on its radar. No disturbances showing development potential over the next seven days.
Now the more immediate threat this week. Dangerous rip currents are in effect across Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach County beaches through Friday at eight PM.
As for today in Miami, it's warm and breezy. Highs climb into the upper eighties, but humidity pushes the feels-like temperature into the mid-nineties.
Hurricane season officially starts June first. That's eleven days out.
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